Extreme Risk
equity · 19 assets · $735.5B combined
Market overview
+2994% since 1985-01 · 19 assets, equal-weighted
DCA Backtest
- Invested
- $50,000
- Value today
- $430,947
- Return
- +761.9%
- Months invested
- 500
Scenarios
Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $90,910 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +374.0%.
Lump sum instead — $50,000 all at once in Jan 1985: $1,547,150 (+2994.3%) — lump sum came out ahead.
Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jun 2026): $310.4 on $300 invested (+3.5%).
⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.
Hypothetical — this backtests the group’s cap-weighted index, which isn’t directly investable. A real tracker fund adds fees and tracking difference, and the index only spans months where enough members have history.
19 assets. Select up to 4 to compare.
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedBoeing BAequity · industrials, aerospace & defense
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedBristol Myers Squibb BMYequity · health care, pharmaceuticals
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedMarathon Petroleum MPCequity · energy, oil & gas refining & marketing
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedWarner Bros. Discovery WBDequity · communication services, broadcasting
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedVistra Corp. VSTequity · utilities, electric utilities
- Extreme Risk(3.5/5)80% ratedLive Nation Entertainment LYVequity · communication services, movies & entertainment
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedJabil JBLequity · information technology, electronic manufacturing services
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedCarnival Corporation CCLequity · consumer discretionary, hotels, resorts & cruise lines
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)60% ratedIncyte INCYequity · health care, biotechnology
- Extreme Risk(3.6/5)80% ratedViatris VTRSequity · health care, pharmaceuticals
- Extreme Risk(3.4/5)80% ratedBaxter International BAXequity · health care, health care equipment
- Extreme Risk(3.4/5)60% ratedAES Corporation AESequity · utilities, independent power producers & energy traders
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)65% ratedParamount Skydance Corporation PSKYequity · communication services, movies & entertainment
- Extreme Risk(3.6/5)80% ratedNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLHequity · consumer discretionary, hotels, resorts & cruise lines
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedCarvana CVNAequity · consumer discretionary, automotive retail
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% ratedEstée Lauder Companies (The) ELequity · consumer staples, personal care products
- Extreme Risk(3.3/5)60% ratedReddit RDDTequity · communication services, interactive media & services
- Extreme Risk(3.7/5)60% ratedRobinhood Markets HOODequity · financials, investment banking & brokerage
- Extreme Risk(3.6/5)60% ratedTrade Desk (The) TTDequity · communication services, advertising