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Carnival Corporation CCL

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$7.03$15.32$23.6$31.89
2021-102026-09 · $21.84

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $17.41 and $27.4; nine in ten between $15.04 and $31.72.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 456 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 72% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-90.2%-60.1%-30.1%0.0%
1987-072026-09 · -69.5%

Worst drawdown: −90%, peaking Jan 2018 and bottoming Sep 2022 — still unrecovered after 104 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$47,100
Value today
$67,625
Return
+43.6%
Months invested
471

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $82,204 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -17.7%.

Lump sum instead — $47,100 all at once in Jul 1987: $283,769 (+502.5%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jan 2018): $11,220 on $10,500 invested (+6.9%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1987-07: +43.6%

About Carnival Corporation

Carnival Corporation Ltd. is a Bermuda-domiciled American cruise line operator that owns more than 90 vessels across eight brands. Carnival is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, and is a component of the S&P 500 index. From 2003 to May 7, 2026, Carnival was a dual-listed company, consisting of U.S.-based and British corporations collectively known as Carnival Corporation & plc. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under consumer discretionary and hotels, resorts & cruise lines, with a market cap of about $29.4B.

It rates Extreme Risk at 3.3/5, meaning the rated factors are poor across the board — treat any position here as speculative.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (5.0/5) and market / volatility (4.3/5).

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Extreme Risk(3.3/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility4.3/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)4/545.4
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/590.2
  • Beta vs S&P 5004/51.5
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5569.9m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial4.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity4/51.9
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality5.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility5/5100
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.