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Airbnb ABNB

equity

Price History

$85.5$125.78$166.07$206.35
2020-12 · DCA start$146.8

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-58.6%-39.0%-19.5%0.0%
2020-122026-08 · -12.7%

Worst drawdown: 59%, peaking Feb 2021 and bottoming Dec 2022 still unrecovered after 66 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$6,900
Value today
$9,248
Return
+34.0%
Months invested
69

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $7,595 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +21.8%.

Lump sum instead — $6,900 all at once in Dec 2020: $8,465 (+22.7%) — DCA came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Feb 2021): $9,028 on $6,700 invested (+34.7%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2020-12: +34.0%

About Airbnb

Airbnb, Inc. is an American company operating an online marketplace for short-and-long-term homestays, experiences and services in various countries and regions. It acts as a broker and charges a commission from each booking. Airbnb was founded in 2008 by Brian Chesky, Nathan Blecharczyk, and Joe Gebbia. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under consumer discretionary and hotels, resorts & cruise lines.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 1.9/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.0/5).

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: earnings quality, concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(1.9/5)65% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/528.1
  • Max drawdown from ATH3/558.6
  • Beta vs S&P 5003/51.1
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5544.1m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity2/50.32
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Qualityunrated · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatilitynot yet researched
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low