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Illumina, Inc. ILMN

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$77.6$186.32$295.04$403.75
2021-102026-09 · $239.62

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $189.38 and $303.2; nine in ten between $162.71 and $352.89.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 300 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 67% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-95.6%-63.7%-31.9%0.0%
2000-072026-09 · -50.3%

Worst drawdown: 96%, peaking Sep 2000 and bottoming Apr 2003 82 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$31,500
Value today
$593,708
Return
+1784.8%
Months invested
315

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $45,752 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +1197.7%.

Lump sum instead — $31,500 all at once in Jul 2000: $443,393 (+1307.6%) — DCA came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jul 2021): $9,915 on $6,300 invested (+57.4%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2000-07: +1784.8%

About Illumina, Inc.

Illumina, Inc. (ILMN) is a listed company categorised under health care and life sciences tools & services, with a market cap of about $36.2B.

There isn’t enough researched data to give it an overall rating yet — only 45% of the scoring weight is backed by facts, below the 60% needed. The score shown is partial and covers only what’s known.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (4.3/5) and sector / regulatory (3.0/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: leverage / financial, earnings quality, concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Partial 2.9/5(45%)

Only 45% of the weighting is fact-backed so far — not enough for an overall rating. The partial score covers the rated categories below; the unrated ones may be where this asset’s real risk sits.

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility4.3/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)4/547.1
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/595.6
  • Beta vs S&P 5004/51.3
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5397.4m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financialunrated · weight 20%
  • Debt / equitynot yet researched
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Qualityunrated · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatilitynot yet researched
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure3/5elevated