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Baxter International BAX

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$16.64$39.71$62.77$85.84
2021-102026-09 · $22.8

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $18.83 and $27.61; nine in ten between $16.64 and $31.24.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 486 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 71% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-81.3%-54.2%-27.1%0.0%
1985-012026-09 · -74.7%

Worst drawdown: −81%, peaking May 2020 and bottoming Mar 2026 — still unrecovered after 76 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$50,100
Value today
$81,724
Return
+63.1%
Months invested
501

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $91,370 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -10.6%.

Lump sum instead — $50,100 all at once in Jan 1985: $306,172 (+511.1%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (May 2020): $4,503 on $7,700 invested (-41.5%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1985-01: +63.1%

About Baxter International

Baxter International Inc. is an American multinational healthcare company with headquarters in Deerfield, Illinois. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under health care and health care equipment, with a market cap of about $11.8B.

It rates Extreme Risk at 3.4/5, meaning the rated factors are poor across the board — treat any position here as speculative.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (5.0/5) and leverage / financial (4.5/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Extreme Risk(3.4/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/538.3
  • Max drawdown from ATH4/581.3
  • Beta vs S&P 5002/50.62
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5164.7m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial4.5/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity4/51.5
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)5/5-1.1
Earnings Quality5.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility5/5100
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure3/5elevated

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.