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Ethereum ETH

crypto

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$1,067$2,255$3,443$4,631
2021-102026-09 · $2,632

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $1,872 and $3,701; nine in ten between $1,502 and $4,612.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 92 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 68% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-90.4%-60.3%-30.1%0.0%
2017-112026-09 · -43.2%

Worst drawdown: −90%, peaking Jan 2018 and bottoming Jan 2019 — 36 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$10,700
Value today
$50,964
Return
+376.3%
Months invested
107

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $12,581 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +305.1%.

Lump sum instead — $10,700 all at once in Nov 2017: $62,986 (+488.7%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Nov 2021): $7,039 on $5,900 invested (+19.3%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2017-11: +376.3%

About Ethereum

Ethereum is a global, open-source platform for decentralized applications. In other words, it is a decentralized blockchain platform that enables developers to build and deploy smart contracts and applications without central authority control. Unlike Bitcoin, which primarily functions as digital currency, Ethereum operates as a programmable global computer where developers can create any type of decentralized service. The platform hosts over $14 billion in DeFi applications with hundreds of thousands of active users across financial protocols, NFT marketplaces, and gaming platforms. (CoinGecko)

It's a cryptocurrency categorised under layer 1, with a market cap of about $309.2B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 2.2/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: systemic / correlation (4.0/5) and market / volatility (3.3/5).

Scoring well: custody / bridge at 1.0/5.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(2.2/5)100% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.3/5 · weight 30%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/568.2
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/590.4
  • Beta vs BTC3/51.0
Liquidity1.7/5 · weight 10%
  • 24h volume / market cap3/52.5
  • Top exchange % of volume1/514.9
  • Significant listings1/538.0
Supply & Concentration1.7/5 · weight 15%
  • Top 10 wallets % of supply3/538.0
  • Unlocks in next 6mo, % of supply1/50.00
  • Annual supply growth %1/50.70
Smart Contract / Technical1.0/5 · weight 12%
  • Audit status1/5audited top tier recent
  • Admin key / upgradeability1/5none immutable
  • Share of its mining algorithm (PoW)not yet researched
Custody / Bridge1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Bridge reliance1/5no bridge dependency
Governance / Team2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Team1/5doxxed track record
  • Largest staking operator, % of stake3/523.0
Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Regulatory profile2/5minor premine no action
Systemic / Correlation4.0/5 · weight 3%
  • Correlation to BTC4/50.76

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.