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Litecoin LTC

crypto

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$37.24$94.16$151.09$208.01
2021-102026-09 · $58.33

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $44.4 and $76.63; nine in ten between $37.24 and $91.38.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 130 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 68% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-86.9%-57.9%-29.0%0.0%
2014-092026-09 · -78.5%

Worst drawdown: −87%, peaking Dec 2017 and bottoming Dec 2018 — 40 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$14,500
Value today
$67,536
Return
+365.8%
Months invested
145

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $17,873 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +277.9%.

Lump sum instead — $14,500 all at once in Sep 2014: $189,021 (+1203.6%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Apr 2021): $4,807 on $6,600 invested (-27.2%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2014-09: +365.8%

About Litecoin

Litecoin is a decentralized, peer-to-peer digital currency designed to enable instant, near-zero cost payments to individuals and merchants worldwide. As an open-source global payment network that functions independently of central banks or intermediaries, its main value proposition lies in providing a scarce digital asset with a fixed maximum supply of 84 million tokens. The network operates using a Proof of Work mechanism where computers solve complex puzzles to confirm transactions and secure the blockchain. (CoinGecko)

It's a cryptocurrency categorised under layer 1, with a market cap of about $5.0B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 2.1/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: systemic / correlation (4.0/5) and market / volatility (3.3/5).

Scoring well: regulatory at 1.0/5.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(2.1/5)100% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.3/5 · weight 30%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/554.6
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/586.9
  • Beta vs BTC3/50.96
Liquidity1.7/5 · weight 10%
  • 24h volume / market cap3/53.7
  • Top exchange % of volume1/56.2
  • Significant listings1/544.0
Supply & Concentration2.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Top 10 wallets % of supplynot yet researched
  • Unlocks in next 6mo, % of supplynot yet researched
  • Annual supply growth %2/51.7
Smart Contract / Technical2.0/5 · weight 12%
  • Audit status3/5unaudited long track record
  • Admin key / upgradeability1/5none immutable
  • Share of its mining algorithm (PoW)not yet researched
Custody / Bridge1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Bridge reliance1/5no bridge dependency
Governance / Team1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Team1/5doxxed track record
  • Largest staking operator, % of stakenot yet researched
Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Regulatory profile1/5organic no history
Systemic / Correlation4.0/5 · weight 3%
  • Correlation to BTC4/50.71

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.