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Ethereum Classic ETC

crypto

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$5.21$21.58$37.95$54.33
2021-102026-09 · $8.57

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $6.33 and $11.59; nine in ten between $5.21 and $14.08.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 92 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 80% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-90.6%-60.4%-30.2%-0.0%
2017-112026-09 · -87.8%

Worst drawdown: −91%, peaking May 2021 and bottoming Jul 2026 — still unrecovered after 64 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$10,700
Value today
$7,954
Return
-25.7%
Months invested
107

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $12,581 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -36.8%.

Lump sum instead — $10,700 all at once in Nov 2017: $3,251 (-69.6%) — DCA came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (May 2021): $3,093 on $6,500 invested (-52.4%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2017-11: -25.7%

About Ethereum Classic

Ethereum Classic (ETC) is a cryptocurrency categorised under layer 1, with a market cap of about $1.3B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 2.0/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.0/5) and systemic / correlation (3.0/5).

Scoring well: regulatory at 1.0/5.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(2.0/5)100% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 30%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/560.5
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/590.6
  • Beta vs BTC2/50.88
Liquidity2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • 24h volume / market cap3/52.7
  • Top exchange % of volume2/520.2
  • Significant listings1/532.0
Supply & Concentration2.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Top 10 wallets % of supplynot yet researched
  • Unlocks in next 6mo, % of supplynot yet researched
  • Annual supply growth %2/52.5
Smart Contract / Technical1.7/5 · weight 12%
  • Audit status3/5unaudited long track record
  • Admin key / upgradeability1/5none immutable
  • Share of its mining algorithm (PoW)1/592.0
Custody / Bridge1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Bridge reliance1/5no bridge dependency
Governance / Team1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Team1/5doxxed track record
  • Largest staking operator, % of stakenot yet researched
Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Regulatory profile1/5organic no history
Systemic / Correlation3.0/5 · weight 3%
  • Correlation to BTC3/50.58

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.