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Sugar SUGAR

commodity

Price History

$5.16$14.76$24.37$33.97
2000-03 · DCA start$5.9

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-69.4%-46.3%-23.1%0.0%
2000-032026-08 · -50.5%

Worst drawdown: −69%, peaking Jan 2011 and bottoming Apr 2020 — still unrecovered after 187 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$31,800
Value today
$41,884
Return
+31.7%
Months invested
318

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $46,250 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -9.4%.

Lump sum instead — $31,800 all at once in Mar 2000: $90,657 (+185.1%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jan 2011): $19,181 on $18,800 invested (+2.0%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2000-03: +31.7%

About Sugar

Raw sugar (ICE No. 11) is dominated by Brazil, where mills switch output between sugar and ethanol depending on relative prices — effectively tying the sugar price to oil as well as to harvests in India and Thailand. Prices are the continuous front-month COMEX/NYMEX/ICE futures series in USD — the standard reference price, but not directly investable: a real position via rolled futures or an ETF differs by roll yield and fees. (emrite)

It's a commodity categorised under agriculture and US cents per pound.

There isn’t enough researched data to give it an overall rating yet — only 45% of the scoring weight is backed by facts, below the 60% needed. The score shown is partial and covers only what’s known.

Not yet researched: structure / supply. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Partial 2.3/5(45%)

Only 45% of the weighting is fact-backed so far — not enough for an overall rating. The partial score covers the rated categories below; the unrated ones may be where this asset’s real risk sits.

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.3/5 · weight 45%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/528.3
  • Max drawdown from ATH3/569.4
  • Beta vs S&P 5001/50.12
Structure / Supplyunrated · weight 55%
  • Futures roll & carry costnot yet researched
  • Supply concentrationnot yet researched

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.