Crude Oil (WTI) WTI
commodity
Price History
Time underwater
How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.
Worst drawdown: −87%, peaking Jun 2008 and bottoming Apr 2020 — still unrecovered after 218 months.
DCA Backtest
- Invested
- $31,300
- Value today
- $46,734
- Return
- +49.3%
- Months invested
- 313
Scenarios
Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $45,280 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +3.2%.
Lump sum instead — $31,300 all at once in Aug 2000: $76,832 (+145.5%) — lump sum came out ahead.
Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jun 2008): $27,293 on $21,900 invested (+24.6%).
Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.
If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.
Every start month at once
Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.
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About Crude Oil (WTI)
West Texas Intermediate is the US benchmark crude, priced at the Cushing, Oklahoma hub. It is the world's most traded commodity future and famously settled below zero in April 2020 when storage ran out. Prices are the continuous front-month COMEX/NYMEX/ICE futures series in USD — the standard reference price, but not directly investable: a real position via rolled futures or an ETF differs by roll yield and fees. (emrite)
It's a commodity categorised under energy and USD per barrel.
There isn’t enough researched data to give it an overall rating yet — only 45% of the scoring weight is backed by facts, below the 60% needed. The score shown is partial and covers only what’s known.
What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.3/5).
Not yet researched: structure / supply. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.
Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.
Risk Profile
Only 45% of the weighting is fact-backed so far — not enough for an overall rating. The partial score covers the rated categories below; the unrated ones may be where this asset’s real risk sits.
- Annualised volatility (3yr)3/538.8
- Max drawdown from ATH5/586.5
- Beta vs S&P 5002/50.74
- Futures roll & carry costnot yet researched
- Supply concentrationnot yet researched
Linked Assets
Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.