Silver SILVER

commodity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

2021-012026-09 · $66.56

Range of outcomes, looking ahead3 months

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $56.78 and $78.01; nine in ten between $51.25 and $86.43.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 253 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 72% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

2000-082026-09 · -15.0%

Worst drawdown: −72%, peaking Apr 2011 and bottoming Dec 2015 — 149 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Start month

Monthly amount (USD)

Invested: $26,800
Value today: $142,557
Return: +431.9%
Months invested: 268

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $38,869 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +266.8%.

Lump sum instead — $26,800 all at once in Aug 2000: $356,526 (+1230.3%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jan 2026): $691.52 on $700 invested (-1.2%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

	J	F	M	A	M	J	J	A	S	O	N	D
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2000-08: +431.9%

About Silver

Silver is half monetary metal, half industrial input (solar panels, electronics), which makes it far more volatile than gold — it tends to overshoot gold's moves in both directions. Prices are the continuous front-month COMEX/NYMEX/ICE futures series in USD — the standard reference price, but not directly investable: a real position via rolled futures or an ETF differs by roll yield and fees. (emrite)

It's a commodity categorised under precious metals and USD per troy ounce.

There isn’t enough researched data to give it an overall rating yet — only 45% of the scoring weight is backed by facts, below the 60% needed. The score shown is partial and covers only what’s known.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.0/5).

Not yet researched: structure / supply. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Partial 3.0/5(45%)

Only 45% of the weighting is fact-backed so far — not enough for an overall rating. The partial score covers the rated categories below; the unrated ones may be where this asset’s real risk sits.

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 45%

Annualised volatility (3yr)3/531.8
Max drawdown from ATH4/571.6
Beta vs S&P 5002/50.59

Structure / Supplyunrated · weight 55%

Futures roll & carry costnot yet researched
Supply concentrationnot yet researched

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.