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Gold GOLD

commodity

Price History

$257.9$1,915$3,573$5,231
2000-08 · DCA start$278.3

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-42.0%-28.0%-14.0%0.0%
2000-082026-08 · -16.6%

Worst drawdown: −42%, peaking Aug 2011 and bottoming Dec 2015 — 107 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$31,300
Value today
$165,825
Return
+429.8%
Months invested
313

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $45,280 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +266.2%.

Lump sum instead — $31,300 all at once in Aug 2000: $490,768 (+1467.9%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Feb 2026): $683.79 on $700 invested (-2.3%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2000
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2000-08: +429.8%

About Gold

Gold has been a monetary metal for most of recorded history and remains the reserve asset central banks actually hold. It pays no income; its return is purely the price, driven by real interest rates, currency debasement fears and official-sector buying. Prices are the continuous front-month COMEX/NYMEX/ICE futures series in USD — the standard reference price, but not directly investable: a real position via rolled futures or an ETF differs by roll yield and fees. (emrite)

It's a commodity categorised under precious metals and USD per troy ounce.

There isn’t enough researched data to give it an overall rating yet — only 45% of the scoring weight is backed by facts, below the 60% needed. The score shown is partial and covers only what’s known.

Not yet researched: structure / supply. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Partial 1.7/5(45%)

Only 45% of the weighting is fact-backed so far — not enough for an overall rating. The partial score covers the rated categories below; the unrated ones may be where this asset’s real risk sits.

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility1.7/5 · weight 45%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/518.0
  • Max drawdown from ATH2/542.0
  • Beta vs S&P 5001/50.09
Structure / Supplyunrated · weight 55%
  • Futures roll & carry costnot yet researched
  • Supply concentrationnot yet researched

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.