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Soybeans SOYBEANS

commodity

Price History

$422$869.5$1,317$1,765
2000-09 · DCA start$499

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-52.8%-35.2%-17.6%0.0%
2000-092026-08 · -33.8%

Worst drawdown: −53%, peaking Aug 2012 and bottoming Aug 2018 — still unrecovered after 168 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$31,200
Value today
$40,753
Return
+30.6%
Months invested
312

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $45,087 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -9.6%.

Lump sum instead — $31,200 all at once in Sep 2000: $73,045 (+134.1%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Aug 2012): $17,863 on $16,900 invested (+5.7%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2000-09: +30.6%

About Soybeans

Soybeans are the world's dominant protein crop, crushed into meal for livestock and oil for food and fuel. The trade is a US–Brazil duopoly selling chiefly to China, which makes the price as geopolitical as it is agricultural. Prices are the continuous front-month COMEX/NYMEX/ICE futures series in USD — the standard reference price, but not directly investable: a real position via rolled futures or an ETF differs by roll yield and fees. (emrite)

It's a commodity categorised under agriculture and US cents per bushel.

There isn’t enough researched data to give it an overall rating yet — only 45% of the scoring weight is backed by facts, below the 60% needed. The score shown is partial and covers only what’s known.

Not yet researched: structure / supply. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Partial 2.0/5(45%)

Only 45% of the weighting is fact-backed so far — not enough for an overall rating. The partial score covers the rated categories below; the unrated ones may be where this asset’s real risk sits.

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.0/5 · weight 45%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/518.5
  • Max drawdown from ATH3/552.8
  • Beta vs S&P 5001/50.34
Structure / Supplyunrated · weight 55%
  • Futures roll & carry costnot yet researched
  • Supply concentrationnot yet researched

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.