Brent Crude BRENT
commodity
Price History
The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.
Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $83.49 and $129.22; nine in ten between $72.52 and $148.77.
Tested against this asset’s own history: across 182 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 75% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.
Time underwater
How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.
Worst drawdown: −80%, peaking May 2008 and bottoming Apr 2020 — still unrecovered after 187 months.
DCA Backtest
- Invested
- $19,700
- Value today
- $28,635
- Return
- +45.4%
- Months invested
- 197
Scenarios
Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $26,238 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +9.1%.
Lump sum instead — $19,700 all at once in Aug 2007: $28,150 (+42.9%) — DCA came out ahead.
Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (May 2008): $27,605 on $18,800 invested (+46.8%).
Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.
If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.
Every start month at once
Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.
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About Brent Crude
Brent is the international benchmark against which roughly two-thirds of the world's crude is priced, reflecting seaborne supply and demand more directly than the landlocked WTI. Prices are the continuous front-month COMEX/NYMEX/ICE futures series in USD — the standard reference price, but not directly investable: a real position via rolled futures or an ETF differs by roll yield and fees. (emrite)
It's a commodity categorised under energy and USD per barrel.
There isn’t enough researched data to give it an overall rating yet — only 45% of the scoring weight is backed by facts, below the 60% needed. The score shown is partial and covers only what’s known.
What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.7/5).
Not yet researched: structure / supply. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.
Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.
Risk Profile
Only 45% of the weighting is fact-backed so far — not enough for an overall rating. The partial score covers the rated categories below; the unrated ones may be where this asset’s real risk sits.
- Annualised volatility (3yr)4/543.7
- Max drawdown from ATH4/580.2
- Beta vs S&P 5003/51.0
- Futures roll & carry costnot yet researched
- Supply concentrationnot yet researched
Linked Assets
Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.