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Hedera HBAR

crypto

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$0.0329$0.158$0.282$0.407
2021-102026-09 · $0.0814

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $0.0470 and $0.141; nine in ten between $0.0329 and $0.201.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 70 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 80% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-91.1%-60.7%-30.4%0.0%
2019-092026-09 · -80.0%

Worst drawdown: −91%, peaking Oct 2021 and bottoming Dec 2022 — still unrecovered after 59 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$8,500
Value today
$10,765
Return
+26.6%
Months invested
85

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $9,665 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +11.4%.

Lump sum instead — $8,500 all at once in Sep 2019: $18,204 (+114.2%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Oct 2021): $5,664 on $6,000 invested (-5.6%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2019-09: +26.6%

About Hedera

Hedera is a decentralized public network where developers can build secure, fair applications with near real-time consensus. The platform is owned and governed by a council of global innovators including Avery Dennison, Boeing, Deutsche Telekom, DLA Piper, FIS (WorldPay), Google, IBM, LG Electronics, Magalu, Nomura, Swirlds, Tata Communications, University College London (UCL), Wipro, and Zain Group. The Hedera Consensus Service (HCS) acts as a trust layer for any application or permissioned network and allows for the creation of an immutable and verifiable log of messages. (CoinGecko)

It's a cryptocurrency categorised under layer 1, with a market cap of about $4.0B.

It rates High Risk at 3.0/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (4.0/5) and regulatory (3.0/5).

Scoring well: governance / team at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: supply & concentration, smart contract / technical, custody / bridge. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(3.0/5)63% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility4.0/5 · weight 30%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)4/5110
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/591.1
  • Beta vs BTC3/51.1
Liquidity2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • 24h volume / market cap4/51.5
  • Top exchange % of volume1/511.7
  • Significant listings1/534.0
Supply & Concentrationunrated · weight 15%
  • Top 10 wallets % of supplynot yet researched
  • Unlocks in next 6mo, % of supplynot yet researched
  • Annual supply growth %not yet researched
Smart Contract / Technicalunrated · weight 12%
  • Audit statusnot yet researched
  • Admin key / upgradeabilitynot yet researched
  • Share of its mining algorithm (PoW)not yet researched
Custody / Bridgeunrated · weight 10%
  • Bridge reliancenot yet researched
Governance / Team1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Team1/5doxxed track record
  • Largest staking operator, % of stakenot yet researched
Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Regulatory profile3/5significant premine centralized issuer
Systemic / Correlation3.0/5 · weight 3%
  • Correlation to BTC3/50.55

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.