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Filecoin FIL

crypto

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$0.462$21.78$43.09$64.41
2021-102026-09 · $0.962

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $0.616 and $1.5; nine in ten between $0.462 and $2.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 91 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 79% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-99.6%-66.4%-33.2%0.0%
2017-122026-09 · -99.5%

Worst drawdown: −100%, peaking Mar 2021 and bottoming Aug 2026 — still unrecovered after 66 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$10,600
Value today
$2,858
Return
-73.0%
Months invested
106

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $12,446 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -77.0%.

Lump sum instead — $10,600 all at once in Dec 2017: $507.76 (-95.2%) — DCA came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Mar 2021): $2,208 on $6,700 invested (-67.0%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2017
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2021
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2017-12: -73.0%

About Filecoin

The Filecoin network achieves staggering economies of scale by allowing anyone worldwide to participate as storage providers. It also makes storage resemble a commodity or utility by decoupling hard-drive space from additional services. On this robust global market the price of storage will be driven by supply and demand, not corporate pricing departments, and miners will compete on factors like reputation for reliability as well as price. (CoinGecko)

It's a cryptocurrency categorised under layer 1, with a market cap of about $1.0B.

There isn’t enough researched data to give it an overall rating yet — only 43% of the scoring weight is backed by facts, below the 60% needed. The score shown is partial and covers only what’s known.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.7/5) and systemic / correlation (3.0/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.7/5.

Not yet researched: supply & concentration, smart contract / technical, custody / bridge, governance / team, regulatory. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Partial 3.2/5(43%)

Only 43% of the weighting is fact-backed so far — not enough for an overall rating. The partial score covers the rated categories below; the unrated ones may be where this asset’s real risk sits.

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.7/5 · weight 30%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/589.0
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/599.6
  • Beta vs BTC3/51.1
Liquidity1.7/5 · weight 10%
  • 24h volume / market cap3/54.8
  • Top exchange % of volume1/510.5
  • Significant listings1/533.0
Supply & Concentrationunrated · weight 15%
  • Top 10 wallets % of supplynot yet researched
  • Unlocks in next 6mo, % of supplynot yet researched
  • Annual supply growth %not yet researched
Smart Contract / Technicalunrated · weight 12%
  • Audit statusnot yet researched
  • Admin key / upgradeabilitynot yet researched
  • Share of its mining algorithm (PoW)not yet researched
Custody / Bridgeunrated · weight 10%
  • Bridge reliancenot yet researched
Governance / Teamunrated · weight 10%
  • Teamnot yet researched
  • Largest staking operator, % of stakenot yet researched
Regulatoryunrated · weight 10%
  • Regulatory profilenot yet researched
Systemic / Correlation3.0/5 · weight 3%
  • Correlation to BTC3/50.61

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.