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Chainlink LINK

crypto

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$5.57$13.71$21.85$29.99
2021-102026-09 · $12.43

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $8.46 and $18.25; nine in ten between $6.61 and $23.38.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 92 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 78% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-85.4%-56.9%-28.5%0.0%
2017-112026-09 · -67.4%

Worst drawdown: −85%, peaking Apr 2021 and bottoming Dec 2022 — still unrecovered after 65 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$10,700
Value today
$78,138
Return
+630.3%
Months invested
107

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $12,581 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +521.1%.

Lump sum instead — $10,700 all at once in Nov 2017: $780,156 (+7191.2%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Apr 2021): $7,262 on $6,600 invested (+10.0%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2017
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2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
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2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2017-11: +630.3%

About Chainlink

Chainlink is the industry-standard decentralized oracle network that solves the "oracle problem" by connecting smart contracts with real-world data. Blockchains cannot access external information on their own, so Chainlink acts as a secure bridge, enabling smart contracts to react to real-world events using verified, tamper-proof data. It is widely considered one of the first decentralized oracle networks and is the market leader in bringing off-chain data on-chain. The platform operates through a decentralized network of nodes that fetch, validate, and deliver data to smart contracts. (CoinGecko)

It's a cryptocurrency categorised under oracles, with a market cap of about $10.1B.

It rates Medium-High Risk at 2.3/5, meaning real but ordinary risk — the kind most mainstream assets carry, with some factors scoring poorly.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.7/5) and regulatory (3.0/5).

Scoring well: governance / team at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: supply & concentration. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-High Risk(2.3/5)85% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.7/5 · weight 30%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/576.8
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/585.4
  • Beta vs BTC3/51.2
Liquidity1.7/5 · weight 10%
  • 24h volume / market cap3/53.1
  • Top exchange % of volume1/57.9
  • Significant listings1/544.0
Supply & Concentrationunrated · weight 15%
  • Top 10 wallets % of supplynot yet researched
  • Unlocks in next 6mo, % of supplynot yet researched
  • Annual supply growth %not yet researched
Smart Contract / Technical1.0/5 · weight 12%
  • Audit status1/5audited top tier recent
  • Admin key / upgradeabilitynot yet researched
  • Share of its mining algorithm (PoW)not yet researched
Custody / Bridge1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Bridge reliance1/5no bridge dependency
Governance / Team1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Team1/5doxxed track record
  • Largest staking operator, % of stakenot yet researched
Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Regulatory profile3/5significant premine centralized issuer
Systemic / Correlation3.0/5 · weight 3%
  • Correlation to BTC3/50.65