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Tellor Tributes TRB

crypto

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$7.15$72.13$137.1$202.08
2021-102026-09 · $18.66

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $10.42 and $33.44; nine in ten between $7.15 and $48.71.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 68 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 87% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-93.4%-62.3%-31.1%0.0%
2019-112026-09 · -90.8%

Worst drawdown: −93%, peaking Dec 2023 and bottoming Jun 2026 — still unrecovered after 33 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$8,300
Value today
$9,633
Return
+16.1%
Months invested
83

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $9,405 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +2.4%.

Lump sum instead — $8,300 all at once in Nov 2019: $69,084 (+732.3%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Dec 2023): $2,109 on $3,400 invested (-38.0%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2019-11: +16.1%

About Tellor Tributes

Smart contracts on Ethereum are fully self contained and any information or access to off-chain data is restricted. Tellor solves this problem by creating a system where parties can request the value of an off-chain data point (e.g. ETH/USD) and miners compete to add this value to an on-chain data bank, accessible by all Ethereum smart contracts. Inputs to a data series are secured by a network of staked miners. The main Tellor smart contract creates a time series of each requested data series and aims to become the standard source of high value data for decentralized applications. (CoinGecko)

It's a cryptocurrency categorised under oracles, with a market cap of about $56M.

It rates High Risk at 2.8/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (4.0/5) and supply & concentration (4.0/5).

Scoring well: governance / team at 1.0/5.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(2.8/5)100% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility4.0/5 · weight 30%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)4/5117
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/593.4
  • Beta vs BTC3/50.96
Liquidity2.7/5 · weight 10%
  • 24h volume / market cap1/5111
  • Top exchange % of volume5/584.3
  • Significant listings2/511.0
Supply & Concentration4.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Top 10 wallets % of supply4/560.0
  • Unlocks in next 6mo, % of supplynot yet researched
  • Annual supply growth %not yet researched
Smart Contract / Technical2.0/5 · weight 12%
  • Audit status2/5audited recognized older
  • Admin key / upgradeabilitynot yet researched
  • Share of its mining algorithm (PoW)not yet researched
Custody / Bridge1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Bridge reliance1/5no bridge dependency
Governance / Team1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Team1/5doxxed track record
  • Largest staking operator, % of stakenot yet researched
Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Regulatory profile2/5minor premine no action
Systemic / Correlation2.0/5 · weight 3%
  • Correlation to BTC2/50.39