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TRON TRX

crypto

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$0.0545$0.182$0.310$0.437
2021-102026-09 · $0.340

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $0.291 and $0.396; nine in ten between $0.264 and $0.437.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 92 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 84% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-87.6%-58.4%-29.2%0.0%
2017-112026-09 · -3.2%

Worst drawdown: −88%, peaking Apr 2018 and bottoming Mar 2020 — 36 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$10,700
Value today
$93,689
Return
+775.6%
Months invested
107

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $12,581 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +644.7%.

Lump sum instead — $10,700 all at once in Nov 2017: $1,619,939 (+15039.6%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (May 2026): $511.16 on $500 invested (+2.2%).

Backtests use monthly closing prices. Stock dividends aren’t reinvested, so long-run equity returns are understated.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2017-11: +775.6%

About TRON

TRON is a decentralized blockchain-based operating system designed to accelerate the decentralization of the internet and its underlying infrastructure. It serves as a global settlement layer for stablecoins and everyday digital purchases, providing a high-throughput environment to support large-scale decentralized applications. The network is governed by a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO), which allows the community to manage the protocol without a central authority. (CoinGecko)

It's a cryptocurrency categorised under layer 1, with a market cap of about $31.5B.

It rates Medium-High Risk at 2.3/5, meaning real but ordinary risk — the kind most mainstream assets carry, with some factors scoring poorly.

What pushes the score up: smart contract / technical (3.0/5) and regulatory (3.0/5).

Scoring well: governance / team at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: supply & concentration. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-High Risk(2.3/5)85% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.7/5 · weight 30%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)1/530.7
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/587.6
  • Beta vs BTC2/50.88
Liquidity2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • 24h volume / market cap4/50.95
  • Top exchange % of volume1/511.1
  • Significant listings1/536.0
Supply & Concentrationunrated · weight 15%
  • Top 10 wallets % of supplynot yet researched
  • Unlocks in next 6mo, % of supplynot yet researched
  • Annual supply growth %not yet researched
Smart Contract / Technical3.0/5 · weight 12%
  • Audit status3/5unaudited long track record
  • Admin key / upgradeabilitynot yet researched
  • Share of its mining algorithm (PoW)not yet researched
Custody / Bridge1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Bridge reliance1/5no bridge dependency
Governance / Team1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Team1/5doxxed track record
  • Largest staking operator, % of stakenot yet researched
Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Regulatory profile3/5significant premine centralized issuer
Systemic / Correlation2.0/5 · weight 3%
  • Correlation to BTC2/50.46

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.