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Veralto VLTO

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$69$83.48$97.95$112.43
2023-10 · DCA start$69

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $85.56 and $104.35; nine in ten between $80.25 and $111.25.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 21 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 81% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Built from 36 monthly closes rather than the full three years, so treat the width as provisional. Short windows tend to understate how violent an asset can be.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-26.9%-17.9%-9.0%0.0%
2023-102026-09 · -16.0%

Worst drawdown: −27%, peaking Aug 2024 and bottoming May 2026 — still unrecovered after 25 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$3,600
Value today
$3,583
Return
-0.5%
Months invested
36

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $3,755 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -4.6%.

Lump sum instead — $3,600 all at once in Oct 2023: $4,930 (+36.9%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Aug 2024): $2,485 on $2,600 invested (-4.4%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2023-10: -0.5%

About Veralto

Veralto Corporation is an American technology company headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. It produces products related to water analytics, water treatment, marking and coding, and packaging and color. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under industrials and environmental & facilities services, with a market cap of about $23.0B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 2.0/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: leverage / financial (3.0/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(2.0/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility1.7/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/519.9
  • Max drawdown from ATH1/526.9
  • Beta vs S&P 5002/50.64
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5183.8m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity3/51.3
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality2.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility2/510.1
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate