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Allegion ALLE

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$89.68$121.22$152.77$184.31
2021-102026-09 · $152.28

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $135.6 and $171.02; nine in ten between $125.82 and $184.31.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 140 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 70% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-37.7%-25.1%-12.6%0.0%
2013-112026-09 · -14.1%

Worst drawdown: −38%, peaking Aug 2021 and bottoming Sep 2022 — 37 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$15,500
Value today
$26,337
Return
+69.9%
Months invested
155

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $19,288 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +36.5%.

Lump sum instead — $15,500 all at once in Nov 2013: $54,587 (+252.2%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Sep 2025): $1,288 on $1,300 invested (-1.0%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2013
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2021
2022
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2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2013-11: +69.9%

About Allegion

Allegion plc is an American Irish-domiciled provider of security products for homes and businesses. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under industrials and building products, with a market cap of about $12.9B.

It rates Low Risk at 1.7/5, meaning the rated factors look benign — steady pricing, deep liquidity, and no obvious structural red flags.

Scoring well: earnings quality at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Low Risk(1.7/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.3/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/523.2
  • Max drawdown from ATH2/537.7
  • Beta vs S&P 5003/51.0
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5206.0m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equitynot yet researched
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)2/58.5
Earnings Quality1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility1/51.7
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.