Back to all assets

United Airlines Holdings UAL

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$32.53$74.55$116.58$158.6
2021-102026-09 · $108.71

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $86.41 and $136.77; nine in ten between $74.51 and $158.6.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 233 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 71% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-93.3%-62.2%-31.1%0.0%
2006-022026-09 · -20.1%

Worst drawdown: −93%, peaking Oct 2007 and bottoming Jun 2009 — 84 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$24,800
Value today
$94,085
Return
+279.4%
Months invested
248

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $33,580 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +180.2%.

Lump sum instead — $24,800 all at once in Feb 2006: $76,008 (+206.5%) — DCA came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jun 2026): $370.21 on $400 invested (-7.4%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2006-02: +279.4%

About United Airlines Holdings

This is a list of airline holding companies, that either own more than one airline or are the parent company of a single airline. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under industrials and passenger airlines, with a market cap of about $35.3B.

It rates Medium-High Risk at 2.6/5, meaning real but ordinary risk — the kind most mainstream assets carry, with some factors scoring poorly.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (4.0/5) and leverage / financial (4.0/5).

Scoring well: earnings quality at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-High Risk(2.6/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility4.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)4/545.9
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/593.3
  • Beta vs S&P 5003/51.3
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5557.4m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial4.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity4/51.7
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility1/58.4
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.