Back to all assets

Tractor Supply TSCO

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$25.65$37.69$49.72$61.76
2021-102026-09 · $32.21

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $28.05 and $36.99; nine in ten between $25.65 and $40.45.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 377 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 66% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-75.0%-50.0%-25.0%0.0%
1994-022026-09 · -47.8%

Worst drawdown: −75%, peaking May 1999 and bottoming Nov 2000 — 31 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$39,200
Value today
$1,503,788
Return
+3736.2%
Months invested
392

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $61,956 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +2327.2%.

Lump sum instead — $39,200 all at once in Feb 1994: $4,698,165 (+11885.1%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Aug 2025): $1,081 on $1,400 invested (-22.8%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1994-02: +3736.2%

About Tractor Supply

Tractor Supply Company, founded in 1938, is an American chain store that sells home improvement, agriculture, lawn and garden maintenance, livestock, equine and pet care equipment and supplies. It caters to farmers, ranchers, pet owners, and landowners. As of 2026, the company had 2,446 stores. It is based in Brentwood, Tennessee. It is publicly traded on the Nasdaq under the symbol TSCO and is a Fortune 500 company. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under consumer discretionary and other specialty retail, with a market cap of about $16.8B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 1.8/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.0/5).

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(1.8/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/527.7
  • Max drawdown from ATH4/575.0
  • Beta vs S&P 5002/50.84
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5385.7m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity3/50.82
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)1/521.2
Earnings Quality1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility1/50.01
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.