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TKO Group Holdings TKO

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$49.34$110.26$171.17$232.09
2021-102026-09 · $189.26

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $167.19 and $214.25; nine in ten between $154.33 and $232.09.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 309 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 74% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-68.2%-45.5%-22.7%0.0%
1999-102026-09 · -15.5%

Worst drawdown: −68%, peaking Oct 1999 and bottoming Mar 2003 — 171 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$32,400
Value today
$341,054
Return
+952.6%
Months invested
324

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $47,521 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +617.7%.

Lump sum instead — $32,400 all at once in Oct 1999: $254,177 (+684.5%) — DCA came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Feb 2026): $774.09 on $800 invested (-3.2%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1999-10: +952.6%

About TKO Group Holdings

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) is an American sports and entertainment company. Established on September 12, 2023, the public company was formed by a merger between Endeavor subsidiary Zuffa—the parent company of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), a mixed martial arts promotion—and the professional wrestling promotion World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE). (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under communication services and movies & entertainment.

It rates High Risk at 2.9/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (5.0/5) and leverage / financial (3.0/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(2.9/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.7/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/524.8
  • Max drawdown from ATH3/568.2
  • Beta vs S&P 5003/50.99
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5250.5m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity3/51.4
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)3/54.1
Earnings Quality5.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility5/5100
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure3/5elevated

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.