Back to all assets

Smurfit Westrock SW

equity

Price History

$1.7$20.06$38.42$56.78
2008-06 · DCA start$8.15

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-79.1%-52.8%-26.4%0.0%
2008-062026-08 · -13.3%

Worst drawdown: 79%, peaking Jun 2008 and bottoming Mar 2009 16 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$21,900
Value today
$71,063
Return
+224.5%
Months invested
219

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $28,828 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +146.5%.

Lump sum instead — $21,900 all at once in Jun 2008: $132,340 (+504.3%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Aug 2021): $7,182 on $6,100 invested (+17.7%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2008-06: +224.5%

About Smurfit Westrock

Smurfit Westrock plc is an Irish company based in Dublin, Ireland, that manufactures corrugated and paper-based packaging. Its stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the London Stock Exchange. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under materials and paper & plastic packaging products & materials, with a market cap of about $25.8B.

It rates High Risk at 3.0/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (5.0/5) and market / volatility (3.7/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(3.0/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.7/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/530.8
  • Max drawdown from ATH4/579.1
  • Beta vs S&P 5004/51.4
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5249.9m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity3/50.79
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality5.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility5/596.4
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate