Amcor AMCR

equity

Price History

2012-05 · DCA start$38.5

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

2012-052026-08 · -28.9%

Worst drawdown: −42%, peaking May 2022 and bottoming Apr 2026 — still unrecovered after 51 months.

DCA Backtest

Start month

Monthly amount (USD)

Invested: $17,200
Value today: $15,860
Return: -7.8%
Months invested: 172

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $21,701 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -26.9%.

Lump sum instead — $17,200 all at once in May 2012: $20,801 (+20.9%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (May 2022): $4,955 on $5,200 invested (-4.7%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

	J	F	M	A	M	J	J	A	S	O	N	D
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026

Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2012-05: -7.8%

About Amcor

Amcor plc is an Australian-founded Jersey-domiciled global packaging company based in Switzerland. It develops and produces flexible packaging, rigid containers, specialty cartons, closures and services for food, beverage, pharmaceutical, medical-device, home and personal-care, and other products. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under materials and paper & plastic packaging products & materials, with a market cap of about $21.5B.

It rates High Risk at 2.8/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (5.0/5) and leverage / financial (3.5/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(2.8/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.0/5 · weight 20%

Annualised volatility (3yr)2/523.2
Max drawdown from ATH2/541.9
Beta vs S&P 5002/50.73

Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%

Avg daily $ volume1/5162.5m
Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched

Leverage / Financial3.5/5 · weight 20%

Debt / equity3/51.2
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)4/52.8

Earnings Quality5.0/5 · weight 15%

3yr EPS volatility5/556.2

Concentrationunrated · weight 10%

Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched

Governanceunrated · weight 10%

Board independence %not yet researched
Share structurenot yet researched
Litigation / audit historynot yet researched

Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%

Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.