Back to all assets

Alphabet Inc. (Class C) GOOG

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$88.73$205.84$322.95$440.06
2021-102026-09 · $344.41

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $296.74 and $399.74; nine in ten between $269.55 and $440.06.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 251 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 65% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-58.6%-39.0%-19.5%0.0%
2004-082026-09 · -9.8%

Worst drawdown: −59%, peaking Oct 2007 and bottoming Nov 2008 — 59 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$26,600
Value today
$447,017
Return
+1580.5%
Months invested
266

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $36,678 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +1118.8%.

Lump sum instead — $26,600 all at once in Aug 2004: $3,593,101 (+13407.9%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Apr 2026): $578.39 on $600 invested (-3.6%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2004-08: +1580.5%

About Alphabet Inc. (Class C)

Alphabet Inc. is an American multinational technology conglomerate holding company headquartered in Mountain View, California. It was created through a restructuring of Google on October 2, 2015, and became the parent holding company of Google and several former Google subsidiaries. Alphabet is listed on the large-cap section of the Nasdaq under the ticker symbols GOOGL and GOOG; both classes of stock are components of major stock market indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100. Alphabet has been described as a Big Tech company. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under communication services and interactive media & services.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 1.8/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.0/5) and sector / regulatory (3.0/5).

Scoring well: earnings quality at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(1.8/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/529.8
  • Max drawdown from ATH3/558.6
  • Beta vs S&P 5003/51.1
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/57.6bn
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial1.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity1/50.16
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility1/52.9
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure3/5elevated

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.