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Chipotle Mexican Grill CMG

equity

Price History

$0.912$21.67$42.43$63.19
2006-01 · DCA start$0.950

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-67.5%-45.0%-22.5%0.0%
2006-012026-08 · -48.3%

Worst drawdown: −68%, peaking Dec 2007 and bottoming Jan 2009 — 31 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$24,800
Value today
$175,206
Return
+606.5%
Months invested
248

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $33,515 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +422.8%.

Lump sum instead — $24,800 all at once in Jan 2006: $851,717 (+3334.3%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Apr 2024): $2,144 on $2,900 invested (-26.1%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2006-01: +606.5%

About Chipotle Mexican Grill

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., also known simply as Chipotle, is an American multinational chain of fast casual restaurants specializing in bowls, tacos, and Mission burritos made to order in front of the customer. As of December 2025, Chipotle has 4,000 locations. Its name derives from chipotle, the Nahuatl name for a smoked and dried jalapeño chili pepper. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under consumer discretionary and restaurants, with a market cap of about $41.3B.

It rates Low Risk at 1.7/5, meaning the rated factors look benign — steady pricing, deep liquidity, and no obvious structural red flags.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.0/5).

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Low Risk(1.7/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/532.6
  • Max drawdown from ATH3/567.5
  • Beta vs S&P 5003/50.93
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5659.6m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial1.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity1/50.00
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality2.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility2/515.6
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.