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Casey's CASY

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$184.98$413.65$642.33$871
2021-102026-09 · $597.48

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $516.7 and $690.89; nine in ten between $470.48 and $758.76.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 486 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 71% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-72.1%-48.1%-24.0%0.0%
1985-012026-09 · -31.4%

Worst drawdown: −72%, peaking Aug 1987 and bottoming Dec 1990 — 63 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$50,100
Value today
$3,260,350
Return
+6407.7%
Months invested
501

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $91,370 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +3468.3%.

Lump sum instead — $50,100 all at once in Jan 1985: $21,936,186 (+43684.8%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jul 2026): $248.03 on $300 invested (-17.3%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1985-01: +6407.7%

About Casey's

Casey's General Stores, Inc. is a chain of convenience stores in the Midwestern and Southern United States. The company is headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa, a suburb of Des Moines. As of May 1, 2026, Casey's has 2,950 stores in 19 states. Following 7-Eleven's purchase of Speedway, Casey's is the third-largest convenience store chain in the United States and the largest that is wholly American-owned. It is one of two Iowa-based Fortune 500 companies. Casey's is famous for their pizza, including a breakfast pizza and a taco pizza, resulting in Casey's being the fifth largest pizza chain in the U.S. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under consumer staples and food retail, with a market cap of about $22.1B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 2.1/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.0/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(2.1/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/529.1
  • Max drawdown from ATH4/572.1
  • Beta vs S&P 5002/50.56
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5377.1m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity2/50.59
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality2.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility2/515.5
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.