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Arista Networks ANET

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$23.43$106.34$189.25$272.16
2021-102026-09 · $199.39

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $165.03 and $240.9; nine in ten between $146.08 and $272.16.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 133 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 67% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-38.6%-25.7%-12.9%0.0%
2014-062026-09 · 0.0%

Worst drawdown: −39%, peaking Mar 2019 and bottoming Feb 2020 — 25 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$14,800
Value today
$240,095
Return
+1522.3%
Months invested
148

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $18,296 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +1212.3%.

Lump sum instead — $14,800 all at once in Jun 2014: $756,781 (+5013.4%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Aug 2026): $201.89 on $200 invested (+0.9%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2014
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2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2014-06: +1522.3%

About Arista Networks

Arista Networks, Inc. is an American provider of client to cloud networking services for large data center/AI, campus and routing environments. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under information technology and communications equipment, with a market cap of about $251.5B.

It rates Low Risk at 1.7/5, meaning the rated factors look benign — steady pricing, deep liquidity, and no obvious structural red flags.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.0/5).

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: leverage / financial, concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Low Risk(1.7/5)60% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/537.8
  • Max drawdown from ATH2/538.6
  • Beta vs S&P 5004/51.3
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/51.4bn
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financialunrated · weight 20%
  • Debt / equitynot yet researched
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility1/58.4
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low