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Diamondback Energy FANG

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$106.73$149.67$192.6$235.54
2021-102026-09 · $192.42

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $170.16 and $217.59; nine in ten between $157.19 and $235.54.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 153 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 74% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-80.8%-53.9%-26.9%0.0%
2012-102026-09 · -6.4%

Worst drawdown: −81%, peaking Sep 2018 and bottoming Oct 2020 — 41 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$16,800
Value today
$41,583
Return
+147.5%
Months invested
168

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $21,158 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +96.5%.

Lump sum instead — $16,800 all at once in Oct 2012: $189,821 (+1029.9%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Apr 2026): $594.32 on $600 invested (-0.9%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2012
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2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2012-10: +147.5%

About Diamondback Energy

Diamondback Energy, headquartered in Midland, Texas, is an American company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration in the Permian Basin. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under energy and oil & gas exploration & production, with a market cap of about $53.9B.

It rates High Risk at 2.8/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (4.0/5) and market / volatility (3.3/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(2.8/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.3/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/524.6
  • Max drawdown from ATH4/580.8
  • Beta vs S&P 5004/51.5
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5428.7m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.5/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity2/50.33
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)3/55.2
Earnings Quality4.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility4/537.2
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure3/5elevated

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.