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AutoZone AZO

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$1,785$2,620$3,455$4,290
2021-102026-09 · $2,855

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $2,497 and $3,265; nine in ten between $2,290 and $3,560.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 411 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 69% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-40.8%-27.2%-13.6%0.0%
1991-042026-09 · -33.4%

Worst drawdown: −41%, peaking Apr 1996 and bottoming Jan 1997 — 62 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$42,600
Value today
$1,949,989
Return
+4477.4%
Months invested
426

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $70,018 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +2685.0%.

Lump sum instead — $42,600 all at once in Apr 1991: $15,086,662 (+35314.7%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Sep 2025): $1,092 on $1,300 invested (-16.0%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1991-04: +4477.4%

About AutoZone

AutoZone, Inc., doing business as AutoZone, is an American retailer of aftermarket automotive parts and accessories, the largest in the United States. Founded in 1979, AutoZone has 7,140 stores across the United States, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Brazil, and the US Virgin Islands. The company is based in Memphis, Tennessee. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under consumer discretionary and automotive retail, with a market cap of about $46.6B.

It rates Low Risk at 1.7/5, meaning the rated factors look benign — steady pricing, deep liquidity, and no obvious structural red flags.

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: leverage / financial, concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Low Risk(1.7/5)60% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.3/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/526.8
  • Max drawdown from ATH2/540.8
  • Beta vs S&P 5002/50.54
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/51.0bn
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financialunrated · weight 20%
  • Debt / equitynot yet researched
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality2.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility2/511.4
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.