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Aptiv APTV

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$33.05$79.66$126.28$172.89
2021-102026-09 · $43.59

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $36.84 and $51.58; nine in ten between $33.05 and $57.49.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 164 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 71% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-74.8%-49.9%-24.9%0.0%
2011-112026-09 · -74.8%

Worst drawdown: −75%, peaking Oct 2021 and bottoming Sep 2026 — still unrecovered after 59 months.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$17,900
Value today
$12,554
Return
-29.9%
Months invested
179

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $22,765 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is -44.9%.

Lump sum instead — $17,900 all at once in Nov 2011: $44,667 (+149.5%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Oct 2021): $3,283 on $6,000 invested (-45.3%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2011
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2011-11: -29.9%

About Aptiv

Aptiv PLC is a supplier of automotive technology and components. It is organized in Jersey and is a resident of Schaffhausen, Switzerland, for tax purposes. The company operates 139 major manufacturing facilities and 11 major technical centers and has a presence in 50 countries. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under consumer discretionary and automotive parts & equipment, with a market cap of about $9.1B.

It rates Medium-High Risk at 2.6/5, meaning real but ordinary risk — the kind most mainstream assets carry, with some factors scoring poorly.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (4.0/5) and market / volatility (3.7/5).

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-High Risk(2.6/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.7/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/533.7
  • Max drawdown from ATH4/574.8
  • Beta vs S&P 5004/51.6
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5211.1m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.5/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity2/50.61
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)3/53.3
Earnings Quality4.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility4/539.7
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low