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T-Mobile US TMUS

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$108.17$162.01$215.85$269.69
2021-102026-09 · $168.18

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $150.61 and $187.8; nine in ten between $140.26 and $201.66.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 219 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 73% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-84.6%-56.4%-28.2%0.0%
2007-042026-09 · -37.6%

Worst drawdown: −85%, peaking Jul 2007 and bottoming Jan 2010 — 142 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$23,400
Value today
$94,242
Return
+302.7%
Months invested
234

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $31,268 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +201.4%.

Lump sum instead — $23,400 all at once in Apr 2007: $70,150 (+199.8%) — DCA came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Feb 2025): $1,594 on $2,000 invested (-20.3%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2007-04: +302.7%

About T-Mobile US

T-Mobile US, Inc. is an American wireless network operator headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. Its majority shareholder and namesake is the German telecommunications company Deutsche Telekom. T-Mobile is the second largest wireless carrier in the United States, with 140 million subscribers as of September 30, 2025. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under communication services and wireless telecommunication services, with a market cap of about $180.4B.

It rates High Risk at 2.8/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: leverage / financial (4.0/5) and earnings quality (3.0/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(2.8/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.7/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/522.1
  • Max drawdown from ATH4/584.6
  • Beta vs S&P 5002/50.63
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5906.4m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial4.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity4/51.6
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality3.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility3/527.4
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory3.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure3/5elevated