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Snap-on SNA

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$197.03$277.05$357.07$437.09
2021-102026-09 · $372.15

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $337.48 and $410.38; nine in ten between $316.86 and $437.09.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 486 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 74% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-61.9%-41.3%-20.6%0.0%
1985-012026-09 · -9.3%

Worst drawdown: −62%, peaking May 2008 and bottoming Feb 2009 — 37 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$50,100
Value today
$477,684
Return
+853.5%
Months invested
501

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $91,370 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +422.8%.

Lump sum instead — $50,100 all at once in Jan 1985: $1,516,858 (+2927.7%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jul 2026): $287.01 on $300 invested (-4.3%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1985-01: +853.5%

About Snap-on

Snap-on Incorporated is a United States designer, manufacturer, and marketer of high-end tools and equipment for professional use in the transportation industry, including the automotive, heavy duty, equipment, marine, aviation, and railroad industries. Headquartered in Kenosha, Wisconsin, since 1930, Snap-on also distributes lower-end tools under the brand name Blue-Point. Their primary competitors include Matco, Mac Tools, and Cornwell Tools. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under industrials and industrial machinery & supplies & components, with a market cap of about $19.3B.

It rates Low Risk at 1.5/5, meaning the rated factors look benign — steady pricing, deep liquidity, and no obvious structural red flags.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (2.7/5).

Scoring well: earnings quality at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Low Risk(1.5/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.7/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)2/519.6
  • Max drawdown from ATH3/561.9
  • Beta vs S&P 5003/51.1
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5138.6m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial1.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity1/50.25
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility1/54.0
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.