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ON Semiconductor ON

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$39.7$66.67$93.65$120.62
2021-102026-09 · $69.98

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $53.69 and $91.22; nine in ten between $45.25 and $108.22.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 302 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 71% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-94.4%-62.9%-31.5%0.0%
2000-052026-09 · -42.0%

Worst drawdown: −94%, peaking Jul 2000 and bottoming Sep 2002 — 210 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$31,700
Value today
$289,794
Return
+814.2%
Months invested
317

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $46,141 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +528.1%.

Lump sum instead — $31,700 all at once in May 2000: $114,867 (+262.4%) — DCA came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (May 2026): $412.24 on $500 invested (-17.6%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2000-05: +814.2%

About ON Semiconductor

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited is a Taiwanese multinational semiconductor contract manufacturing and design company. Headquartered in Hsinchu Science Park, it is one of the world's largest non-US companies by market capitalisation. It holds a commanding majority in the semiconductor foundry market, accounting for approximately 70% of the global market share. As the leading dedicated contract chipmaker, it serves as the main supplier for Nvidia, Apple, Broadcom, and Qualcomm. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under information technology and semiconductors, with a market cap of about $27.2B.

It rates High Risk at 3.0/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (4.7/5) and earnings quality (4.0/5).

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(3.0/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility4.7/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)4/553.0
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/594.4
  • Beta vs S&P 5005/52.3
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5955.7m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial3.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity3/50.74
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality4.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility4/546.8
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.