Moody's Corporation MCO

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

2021-102026-09 · $468.59

Range of outcomes, looking ahead3 months

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $423.1 and $518.98; nine in ten between $396.12 and $554.31.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 369 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 64% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

1994-102026-09 · -9.1%

Worst drawdown: −75%, peaking Jan 2007 and bottoming Feb 2009 — 82 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Start month

Monthly amount (USD)

Invested: $38,400
Value today: $629,447
Return: +1539.2%
Months invested: 384

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $60,148 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +946.5%.

Lump sum instead — $38,400 all at once in Oct 1994: $2,164,674 (+5537.2%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jul 2025): $1,461 on $1,500 invested (-2.6%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

	J	F	M	A	M	J	J	A	S	O	N	D
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
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2014
2015
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2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
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2025
2026

Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1994-10: +1539.2%

About Moody's Corporation

Moody's Corporation is an American business and financial services company. It is the holding company for Moody's Ratings, an American credit rating agency, and Moody's, an American provider of financial analysis software and services. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under financials and financial exchanges & data, with a market cap of about $81.2B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 1.9/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: sector / regulatory (4.0/5) and market / volatility (3.0/5).

Scoring well: earnings quality at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(1.9/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.0/5 · weight 20%

Annualised volatility (3yr)2/520.4
Max drawdown from ATH4/574.9
Beta vs S&P 5003/51.0

Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%

Avg daily $ volume1/5431.0m
Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched

Leverage / Financial1.0/5 · weight 20%

Debt / equity1/52.5
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)1/513.4

Earnings Quality1.0/5 · weight 15%

3yr EPS volatility1/55.4

Concentrationunrated · weight 10%

Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched

Governanceunrated · weight 10%

Board independence %not yet researched
Share structurenot yet researched
Litigation / audit historynot yet researched

Sector / Regulatory4.0/5 · weight 10%

Sector regulatory exposure4/5high

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.