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Huntington Ingalls Industries HII

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$175.58$265.23$354.87$444.52
2021-102026-09 · $272.86

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $223.92 and $332.49; nine in ten between $197.12 and $377.7.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 172 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 62% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-46.3%-30.9%-15.4%0.0%
2011-032026-09 · -38.6%

Worst drawdown: −46%, peaking Feb 2018 and bottoming Sep 2020 — 72 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$18,700
Value today
$44,542
Return
+138.2%
Months invested
187

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $23,952 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +86.0%.

Lump sum instead — $18,700 all at once in Mar 2011: $122,951 (+557.5%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Feb 2026): $671.43 on $800 invested (-16.1%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2011-03: +138.2%

About Huntington Ingalls Industries

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc., (HII) is the largest military shipbuilding company in the United States as well as a provider of professional services to partners in government and industry. HII was formed on March 31, 2011, as a divestiture from Northrop Grumman. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under industrials and aerospace & defense, with a market cap of about $10.8B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 2.1/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (3.0/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(2.1/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility2.3/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/539.5
  • Max drawdown from ATH2/546.3
  • Beta vs S&P 5002/50.80
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5153.1m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity2/50.53
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)2/56.3
Earnings Quality3.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility3/520.1
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.