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Axon Enterprise AXON

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$93.17$338.09$583.02$827.94
2021-102026-09 · $447.76

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $346.51 and $578.59; nine in ten between $293.7 and $682.62.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 289 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 65% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-88.5%-59.0%-29.5%0.0%
2001-062026-09 · -45.9%

Worst drawdown: −89%, peaking Dec 2004 and bottoming Aug 2010 — 126 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$30,400
Value today
$2,918,925
Return
+9501.7%
Months invested
304

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $43,650 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +6587.2%.

Lump sum instead — $30,400 all at once in Jun 2001: $25,522,337 (+83855.1%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Jun 2025): $1,294 on $1,600 invested (-19.1%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2001-06: +9501.7%

About Axon Enterprise

Axon Enterprise, Inc. is an American company based in Scottsdale, Arizona, that develops weapons and technology products for military, law enforcement, and civilians. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under industrials and aerospace & defense, with a market cap of about $36.4B.

It rates High Risk at 2.9/5, meaning several rated factors score badly, so this carries materially more risk than a typical holding.

What pushes the score up: earnings quality (5.0/5) and market / volatility (4.0/5).

Scoring well: liquidity at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

High Risk(2.9/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility4.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)4/551.3
  • Max drawdown from ATH5/588.5
  • Beta vs S&P 5003/51.3
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5557.5m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity2/50.47
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality5.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility5/5123
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory2.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure2/5moderate

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.