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Apollo Global Management APO

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$46.5$89.34$132.19$175.03
2021-102026-09 · $125.91

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $106.53 and $148.81; nine in ten between $95.65 and $165.75.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 172 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 71% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-58.2%-38.8%-19.4%0.0%
2011-032026-09 · -28.1%

Worst drawdown: −58%, peaking Jan 2014 and bottoming Jan 2016 — 47 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$18,700
Value today
$76,310
Return
+308.1%
Months invested
187

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $23,952 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +218.6%.

Lump sum instead — $18,700 all at once in Mar 2011: $130,807 (+599.5%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Nov 2024): $2,154 on $2,300 invested (-6.3%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
2011
2012
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2014
2015
2016
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2020
2021
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2026
Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 2011-03: +308.1%

About Apollo Global Management

Apollo Global Management, Inc. is an American asset management firm that primarily invests in alternative assets. As of 2025, the company had $840 billion of assets under management, including $392 billion invested in credit, including mezzanine capital, hedge funds, non-performing loans, and collateralized loan obligations, $99 billion invested in private equity, and $46.2 billion invested in real assets, which includes real estate and infrastructure. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under financials and asset management & custody banks, with a market cap of about $74.4B.

It rates Medium-Low Risk at 2.0/5, meaning the rated factors are mostly sound, with one or two areas worth watching.

What pushes the score up: sector / regulatory (4.0/5) and market / volatility (3.3/5).

Scoring well: earnings quality at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-Low Risk(2.0/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.3/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/533.4
  • Max drawdown from ATH3/558.2
  • Beta vs S&P 5004/51.6
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/5517.2m
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial1.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity1/50.65
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility1/59.2
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory4.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure4/5high

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.