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Adobe Inc. ADBE

equity

Price History

The shaded fan is where this price has historically travelled over the months after a close like today’s. It is not a forecast: it has no view on direction, only on distance.

$184.58$346.33$508.09$669.85
2021-102026-09 · $248.92

Over 3 months from Sep 2026, roughly two-thirds of past moves landed between $207.54 and $298.55; nine in ten between $184.58 and $335.69.

Tested against this asset’s own history: across 467 past 3-month windows, the price actually landed inside the two-thirds band 67% of the time. The gap from 68% is the model’s error — real returns have fatter tails than the maths assumes, so the band gets breached more often than it claims.

Time underwater

How far below its previous all-time high the price sat, each month. 0% means a new high.

-75.4%-50.3%-25.1%0.0%
1986-082026-09 · -62.8%

Worst drawdown: −75%, peaking Sep 2000 and bottoming Sep 2002 — 64 months below the prior high before recovering.

DCA Backtest

Invested
$48,200
Value today
$2,226,494
Return
+4519.3%
Months invested
482

Scenarios

Inflation — the same contributions merely keeping pace with CPI would be $85,504 today, so the real (inflation-adjusted) return is +2504.0%.

Lump sum instead — $48,200 all at once in Aug 1986: $57,952,403 (+120133.2%) — lump sum came out ahead.

Worst timing — same monthly amount started at the all-time high (Nov 2021): $3,789 on $5,900 invested (-35.8%).

⚠ Price returns only — dividends are not included. This understates the true return of dividend-paying shares, and any comparison against crypto (which pays no dividends) is biased against equities by roughly the dividend yield, compounded.

If this saved you a spreadsheet — buy me a coffee.

Every start month at once

Each cell is the return-to-date of £/$/€100-a-month DCA started that month. Click a cell to load it in the backtest above. The ringed cell is the all-time-high start — the worst timing scenario.

JFMAMJJASOND
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Legend:−50%−20%0%+50%+200%+1000%worst timing (ATH)Selected 1986-08: +4519.3%

About Adobe Inc.

Adobe Inc., formerly Adobe Systems Incorporated, is an American multinational computer software company based in San Jose, California. It offers a wide range of programs from web design tools, photo manipulation, and vector creation to video and audio editing, mobile app development, print layout and animation software. (Wikipedia)

It's a listed company categorised under information technology and application software, with a market cap of about $96.9B.

It rates Medium-High Risk at 2.3/5, meaning real but ordinary risk — the kind most mainstream assets carry, with some factors scoring poorly.

What pushes the score up: market / volatility (3.7/5) and earnings quality (3.0/5).

Scoring well: sector / regulatory at 1.0/5.

Not yet researched: concentration, governance. These are excluded from the score rather than guessed, so the real risk may be higher than what’s shown.

Ratings summarise sourced facts against fixed rules — not investment advice, and no substitute for your own diligence.

Risk Profile

Medium-High Risk(2.3/5)80% rated

How these ratings work

Market / Volatility3.7/5 · weight 20%
  • Annualised volatility (3yr)3/536.4
  • Max drawdown from ATH4/575.4
  • Beta vs S&P 5004/51.4
Liquidity1.0/5 · weight 15%
  • Avg daily $ volume1/51.5bn
  • Float % of shares outstandingnot yet researched
Leverage / Financial2.0/5 · weight 20%
  • Debt / equity2/50.54
  • Interest coverage (EBIT / interest)not yet researched
Earnings Quality3.0/5 · weight 15%
  • 3yr EPS volatility3/521.6
Concentrationunrated · weight 10%
  • Largest customer, % of revenuenot yet researched
  • Geographic revenue concentrationnot yet researched
Governanceunrated · weight 10%
  • Board independence %not yet researched
  • Share structurenot yet researched
  • Litigation / audit historynot yet researched
Sector / Regulatory1.0/5 · weight 10%
  • Sector regulatory exposure1/5low

Linked Assets

Same sector, or return-correlated — worth knowing what else might move if this one does.